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Fooled by a Red Herring: Black Swans and other Sterile Creatures in Finance...

INTRODUCTION: AN EPIDEMIC OF QUIXOTISM Tony is smart, curious and eager to learn, but his many classroom interruptions with silly comments drive his teachers to despair. Tony: What do you mean, Mrs....

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SCIENTIST BEHAVING BADLY – A Review of Models. Behaving. Badly. by Emanuel...

The book’s subtitle is “Why confusing loose-association metaphysics with a sound argument can lead to absurdity, in finance and in philosophy”. Just kidding, that’s the subtitle of my review.  First I...

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FOOLED BY A RED HERRING – Chapter 1: The “Problem” of Induction

(click here for introduction to Fooled By A Red Herring) Induction is often contrasted with deduction. Both are types of reasoning. Deduction starts with general statements (e.g. all humans are mortal)...

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SCIENTIST BEHAVING BADLY – An update

The book by Emanuel Derman, which I reviewed in an earlier post, was not well received generally by the readers that reviewed it on Amazon. That must have incited the venerated Nassim N. Taleb to throw...

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MODELING 101 – Part 2

(click here for introduction and part 1) A Primer On Mathematical Models In Finance Let me start by saying what part 2 is not about. It’s not about the spreadsheet models financial analysts use to...

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